Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 4-1
Arsenal de Sarandí vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 0
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
HUR
1 - 1
ARS
31%
29%
40%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 1
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
SLO
4 - 2
ARS
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
ARS
0 - 1
IND
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 2
SLO
25%
29%
47%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
NOB
1 - 0
SLO
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 2
SLO
27%
28%
45%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
SLO
4 - 2
ARS
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ARG
1 - 1
SLO
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |