Arsenal de Sarandí vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ARS
0 - 3
ALD
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 0
ARS
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
ARS
3 - 0
NOB
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 1
ARS
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
IND
4 - 0
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
INS
31%
28%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GBR
2 - 0
GAF
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 2
ATT
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
DAL
1 - 0
GAF
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 0
FER
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |