Arsenal de Sarandí vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 2
RAC
58%
25%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 0
ARS
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ARS
0 - 2
SUA
67%
21%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
ARS
24%
29%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
EST
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
ATT
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
VEL
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 0
NOB
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
GLP
3 - 1
VEL
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
VEL
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -4 |