Arsenal de Sarandí vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2005 |
IND
4 - 2
ARS
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ARS
1 - 2
GLP
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
BOC
1 - 3
ARS
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 0
OLI
55%
26%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
SLO
1 - 2
ARS
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
VEL
3 - 0
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 1
VEL
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 3
INS
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
ARG
0 - 3
VEL
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 0
BAN
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |