Conmebol Sudamericana Semi-finals
Global 0-0
Arsenal de Sarandí vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
ARS
1 - 0
CEN
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 3
ARS
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
TIG
2 - 0
ARS
29%
30%
41%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2007 |
ARS
0 - 0
CHI
41%
27%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
ARS
0 - 1
LAN
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
RIV
1 - 1
IND
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
RIV
0 - 0
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 2
RIV
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
GLP
0 - 2
RIV
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
RIV
2 - 0
BOC
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |