Arsenal de Sarandí vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
TAL
4 - 3
ARS
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
LAN
0 - 1
ARS
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ARS
0 - 0
RAC
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 0
ARS
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 2
BOC
23%
24%
54%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RAF
0 - 0
QUI
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 2
RIV
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
IND
2 - 1
RAF
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
NOB
25%
26%
48%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
RAF
70%
18%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |