Conmebol Sudamericana Final
Global 4-4
Arsenal de Sarandí vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
AME
2 - 3
ARS
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 1
BOC
33%
27%
41%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2007 |
RIV
0 - 0
ARS
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 0
ARS
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
ARS
0 - 0
RIV
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
AME
2 - 3
ARS
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2007 |
AME
1 - 0
MOR
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
3 - 0
AME
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
AME
2 - 0
MIL
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MON
0 - 1
AME
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |