Europa League 1/64
Global 3-2
Arsenal Kyiv vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
DNI
2 - 0
ARS
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
DYN
2 - 0
ARS
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2001 |
JOK
0 - 2
ARS
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
ARS
0 - 2
HOV
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
ARS
2 - 0
JOK
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
CRV
2 - 2
VOJ
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
SME
2 - 1
CRV
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
CRV
1 - 0
RAD
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
LEV
3 - 0
CRV
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
CRV
1 - 1
MLA
85%
11%
5%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |