Arroyo vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PUE
0 - 0
ARR
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 2
COR
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UDF
3 - 0
ARR
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -3 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
ARR
13%
20%
67%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 1
OLI
73%
18%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UCL
3 - 3
AMA
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
UCL
74%
17%
10%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UCL
1 - 1
VAL
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
UCL
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UCL
1 - 1
EXT
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |