Arroyo vs Sporting Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 1
ARR
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ARR
0 - 0
SNV
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
DPC
0 - 1
ARR
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ARR
3 - 0
VAL
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CPL
0 - 1
ARR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SPV
1 - 1
COR
75%
15%
9%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 0
SPV
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SPV
3 - 1
SAM
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
SPV
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
SPV
2 - 0
MIA
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |