Arroyo vs Sevilla At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
CRD
0 - 1
ARR
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
ALM
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
ARR
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
ARR
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 2
ALB
17%
27%
56%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
SEV
2 - 0
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ECI
1 - 3
SEV
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SEV
1 - 1
ALG
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CAD
3 - 0
SEV
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SEV
3 - 1
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |