Arroyo vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
ARR
52%
24%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ARR
4 - 3
ASJ
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
DBN
2 - 1
ARR
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
COR
1 - 3
ARR
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SAM
4 - 3
ARR
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
UDS
1 - 0
COR
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 2
UDS
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
UDS
2 - 0
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 0
UDS
85%
11%
5%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PLA
2 - 1
UDS
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |