Arroyo vs La Roda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 1
CPC
29%
27%
44%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ARR
0 - 1
EJE
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
EJE
1 - 2
ARR
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ARR
5 - 2
VIL
85%
11%
5%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
ARR
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
La Roda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
UCA
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 1
MUR
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ROD
4 - 0
CEL
45%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ALB
3 - 0
ROD
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CDT
2 - 0
ROD
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |