Arroyo vs EF Puebla de la Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
17º
16º
15
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
38 | 71 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 61 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 38 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 27 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 25 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
77.5% | 78% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARR
1 - 4
CDE
25%
22%
54%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ARR
4 - 3
CFJ
27%
24%
50%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDB
3 - 0
ARR
81%
15%
5%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ADL
1 - 0
ARR
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ARR
4 - 2
OLI
42%
26%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
EF Puebla de la Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 3
ADL
12%
19%
70%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
PUE
61%
22%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 3
JER
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
PUE
60%
20%
19%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 2
CAL
30%
24%
47%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |