Arroyo vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
9 - 1
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 2
CPC
15%
24%
61%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
ARR
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
JER
2 - 0
ARR
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 1
AZU
39%
25%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 2
AMA
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
PLA
30%
23%
46%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 0
VAL
82%
13%
6%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
PLA
3 - 2
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
EXT
1 - 1
PLA
28%
21%
51%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |