Arroyo vs Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
MIA
0 - 1
ARR
20%
23%
58%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ARR
4 - 1
PLA
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ALF
4 - 0
ARR
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ARR
3 - 1
ALF
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ARR
3 - 1
SNV
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 2
OLI
54%
24%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 3
VIL
13%
23%
64%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 0
EXT
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SNV
2 - 0
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 0
DBN
21%
27%
53%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +3 |