Arroyo vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CPC
4 - 1
ARR
81%
14%
6%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ARR
3 - 0
MIA
65%
20%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
ARR
1 - 1
AZU
31%
26%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 3
ARR
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ARR
1 - 3
OLI
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
4 - 3
EMD
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
JER
0 - 0
MOR
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 2
MOR
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
UDF
0 - 2
MOR
11%
19%
71%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |