Arroyo vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
8.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 0
AMA
81%
14%
5%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 1
ARR
10%
20%
70%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 1
EXT
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DBN
0 - 0
ARR
12%
21%
67%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 0
JER
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 3
CDB
17%
22%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 2
MOR
22%
25%
53%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
SAM
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
4 - 1
VAL
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 2
MOR
30%
26%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |