Arroyo vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SNV
2 - 4
ARR
16%
21%
63%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 1
ASJ
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CDZ
1 - 4
ARR
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 0
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
ARR
13%
20%
67%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 0
JER
26%
26%
48%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MIA
1 - 0
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 2
MOR
37%
27%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 3
PLA
37%
26%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |