Arroyo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
55.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
AZU
6 - 1
ARR
78%
14%
9%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 4
CDB
13%
20%
67%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
UCL
0 - 1
ARR
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 2
PUE
51%
25%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
COR
2 - 1
ARR
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
JER
2 - 1
AMA
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 2
JER
24%
27%
49%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
JER
2 - 0
VAL
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
JER
23%
26%
51%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
JER
1 - 0
EXT
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |