Arroyo vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
TRU
3 - 1
ARR
65%
20%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 3
CDD
36%
25%
39%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 1
ARR
47%
24%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 2
AZU
15%
23%
62%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
JER
2 - 0
ARR
78%
16%
7%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
EMD
1 - 1
PUE
16%
22%
63%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 0
EMD
66%
20%
14%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
EMD
1 - 0
MON
27%
25%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AMA
3 - 2
EMD
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EMD
1 - 2
VAL
26%
25%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |