Arroyo vs Chinato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ARR
3 - 0
JER
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MIA
0 - 4
ARR
14%
21%
65%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
ARR
9%
18%
73%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 0
VAL
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 2
ARR
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Chinato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
MER
19%
25%
56%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
JER
2 - 1
CHI
70%
20%
11%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
MIA
19%
25%
57%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
DPC
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |