Arroyo vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
51.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SEV
2 - 0
ARR
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
GRA
43%
26%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ARR
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 0
BAL
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 2
CRD
61%
22%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALB
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LOR
3 - 0
CAR
32%
30%
39%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
LUC
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
CER
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 2
CAR
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |