Arroyo vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
COR
3 - 0
ARR
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARR
3 - 4
MOR
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CPC
4 - 1
ARR
81%
14%
6%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ARR
3 - 0
MIA
65%
20%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
ARR
1 - 1
AZU
31%
26%
44%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
EMD
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
JER
1 - 0
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 0
UDF
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
CAL
18%
22%
60%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PLA
0 - 1
CAL
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |