Arroyo vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ASJ
0 - 5
ARR
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 2
DBN
67%
20%
14%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 1
COR
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
3 - 5
ARR
15%
22%
63%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 1
SAM
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
MER
17%
24%
59%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
SAM
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
MER
69%
18%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MER
4 - 0
MIA
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |