Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Arroyo vs CD Azuqueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
AZU
1 - 0
ARR
22%
25%
54%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ARR
5 - 0
CDZ
82%
14%
5%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ASJ
0 - 2
ARR
12%
20%
67%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 0
CAL
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SNV
0 - 1
ARR
9%
18%
73%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
CD Azuqueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
AZU
1 - 0
ARR
22%
25%
54%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AZU
1 - 2
MAD
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PED
1 - 0
AZU
29%
27%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AZU
3 - 0
ATL
66%
20%
15%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ADS
0 - 3
AZU
24%
26%
50%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |