Arroyo vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 1
ARR
32%
25%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
ARR
43%
25%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 1
EXT
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
DBN
0 - 0
ARR
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
4 - 1
UDF
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
OLI
44%
25%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VAL
3 - 1
AMA
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
MON
41%
24%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
EXT
2 - 1
AMA
45%
23%
33%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |