Arras vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
DOU
3 - 0
ARR
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ESW
0 - 0
ARR
45%
28%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ARR
2 - 1
SED
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 0
ARR
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ARR
4 - 1
MEZ
77%
16%
8%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
ESW
58%
25%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 2
VAL
29%
27%
45%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VAL
4 - 0
CHA
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LES
1 - 3
VAL
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
FEI
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |