Arras vs US Maubeuge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
ARR
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
AAC
1 - 1
ARR
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 1
CHT
67%
18%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 2
AMI
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
FEI
1 - 1
ARR
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
US Maubeuge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
USM
3 - 1
ASB
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
USM
0 - 0
VAL
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
TOU
0 - 3
USM
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
USM
0 - 0
VIM
38%
23%
38%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
AMI
4 - 2
USM
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |