Arras vs Poissy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DIE
4 - 0
ARR
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ARR
3 - 0
AUB
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 0
ARR
53%
23%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PSG
2 - 3
ARR
44%
26%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 1
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Poissy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
POI
1 - 0
PSG
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
POI
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
POI
2 - 0
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ESW
1 - 0
POI
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
POI
1 - 1
MAN
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |