Arras vs Grande-Synthe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 4
PSG
11%
24%
66%
|
36 | 90 | 54 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ESW
0 - 3
ARR
53%
25%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 0
ANG
12%
23%
66%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 3
DIE
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 0
ARR
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grande-Synthe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 2
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ESW
2 - 1
GRA
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 2
DIE
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 0
BOU
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |