Arras vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
ARR
2 - 2
REI
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BOB
2 - 0
ARR
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
IRI
2 - 0
ARR
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FCS
2 - 1
ARR
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SML
4 - 2
ARR
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FLE
1 - 1
LUS
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
FCS
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SML
3 - 1
LUS
28%
26%
47%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 0
FEI
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 1
LIM
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |