Arras vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 1
IRI
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARR
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
3 - 0
LIL
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 0
IVR
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PSG
1 - 2
ARR
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
AAC
41%
27%
33%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
ASB
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SED
0 - 0
CAL
81%
14%
5%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
IVR
2 - 1
CAL
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |