Arras vs Boulogne-Billancourt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 5
TRO
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AAC
0 - 2
ARR
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
IRI
2 - 1
ARR
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 2
POI
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DIE
4 - 0
ARR
50%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Boulogne-Billancourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
BOU
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BOU
4 - 1
PSG
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +3 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BOU
3 - 1
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +3 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ESW
1 - 0
BOU
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 2
MAN
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |