Arras vs Aulnoye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
17.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 6
ARR
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 1
AIL
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
GRA
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
IRI
1 - 2
ARR
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
ARR
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AUL
1 - 0
CAL
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
AUL
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FEI
2 - 2
AUL
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DIE
4 - 1
AUL
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AUL
2 - 0
AVI
36%
24%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |