CEAC / Araruama vs Mageense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+131%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
6 - 0
ADC
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
CDA
1 - 1
ADC
22%
20%
57%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
ADC
2 - 2
CER
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CIG
0 - 0
ADC
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ADC
1 - 1
MES
51%
21%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mageense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MAG
0 - 2
TIG
18%
20%
63%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
QUE
3 - 2
MAG
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
MAG
0 - 3
CGA
10%
15%
76%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
PER
4 - 0
MAG
76%
14%
9%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
MAG
6 - 0
BVI
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |