CEAC / Araruama vs Cabofriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
ADC
61%
20%
18%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
ADC
0 - 1
SAM
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 0
ADC
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ADC
1 - 1
CMA
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 1
ADC
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cabofriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CMA
1 - 2
CAB
36%
24%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
CAB
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 1
ADC
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
CAB
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 1
AME
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |