Arouca vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
ARO
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ARO
1 - 2
BOA
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
ARO
2 - 1
EST
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TON
1 - 2
ARO
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
ARO
3 - 0
VAR
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2017 |
VST
1 - 0
SLB
11%
21%
68%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
VST
0 - 3
SPB
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 2
VST
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
VST
0 - 0
MUN
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
VST
1 - 0
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |