Arouca vs Valadares Gaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.6%
2.7%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ARO
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ESP
3 - 2
ARO
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ARO
1 - 0
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
ARO
7%
19%
74%
|
59 | 22 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ARO
3 - 0
LEC
76%
17%
7%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
CAN
17%
20%
64%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LUS
5 - 0
VAL
84%
12%
4%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 4
TRO
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 3
ESP
11%
21%
68%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 1
VAL
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |