Arouca vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 2
ARO
76%
17%
8%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 2
PAÇ
24%
27%
50%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
0 - 1
SCP
13%
18%
69%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SLB
3 - 1
ARO
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
PAÇ
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 1
MOR
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 1
UNM
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UNM
3 - 0
NAC
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
UNM
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
UNM
59%
25%
17%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |