Arouca vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
ARO
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 0
UNM
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SCF
2 - 0
ARO
48%
25%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 2
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
ARO
41%
29%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 2
LEX
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EST
0 - 2
TRO
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
NAV
2 - 1
TRO
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 1
MOR
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |