Arouca vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
AVE
3 - 2
ARO
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARO
0 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARO
6 - 3
PEN
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
FAT
1 - 0
ARO
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
TRO
0 - 0
LEX
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 0
TRO
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 1
TRO
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 0
AVE
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
EST
2 - 2
TRO
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |