Arouca vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
69.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SLB
3 - 1
ARO
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
PAÇ
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 2
MOR
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
SPB
2 - 0
ARO
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 2
ARO
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 3
SCP
29%
24%
47%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
SCP
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
SCP
2 - 2
TON
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SCP
3 - 2
SPB
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VST
0 - 6
SCP
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |