Arouca vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SCP
1 - 1
ARO
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ARO
3 - 0
VSC
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 2
ARO
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
AVE
0 - 3
ARO
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 1
MAR
62%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
SPC
50%
27%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
SPC
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 2
SCP
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 2
SPC
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |