Arouca vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 1
ARO
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SLB
5 - 1
ARO
90%
8%
3%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ARO
2 - 2
ACA
31%
25%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ARO
3 - 0
MOR
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
ARO
57%
24%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 3
FEI
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 1
SPC
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
SCF
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
EST
3 - 1
SPC
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
SPC
2 - 1
LEX
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |