Arouca vs SC Freamunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
ARO
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ARO
0 - 2
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 0
ARO
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ARO
2 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 0
ARO
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SC Freamunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 1
LEX
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NAV
1 - 1
SCF
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 0
UNM
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCF
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SCF
2 - 2
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |