Arouca vs SC Freamunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
LEX
0 - 2
ARO
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARO
1 - 3
TRO
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AVE
3 - 2
ARO
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARO
0 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freamunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LEX
3 - 1
SCF
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
SCF
50%
25%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 0
TRO
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 1
SCF
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |