Arouca vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 0
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 1
ARO
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ARO
4 - 0
TRO
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 0
LEX
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 3
ARO
50%
23%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
SLB
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
RIO
39%
28%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
SCF
76%
16%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |