Arouca vs Porto II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
FAM
2 - 0
ARO
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ARO
1 - 2
PAÇ
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 0
ARO
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
ARO
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
ARO
4 - 0
ESP
86%
12%
3%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
GFC
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 0
POR
7%
13%
80%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ACA
2 - 1
POR
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
VSC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 3
POR
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |