Arouca vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 1
ARO
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 2
AVE
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
ARO
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 1
SPC
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LEX
0 - 2
ARO
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
SPC
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LEX
1 - 0
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 1
POR
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
EST
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |